Closing the circularity gap
The 2025 Circularity Gap Report (CGR) reveals a sobering truth: only 6.9% of materials re-enter our global economy. The vast majority remain virgin raw materials, extracted at enormous cost to energy, biodiversity, and CO2 emissions. Each year, the share of secondary materials declines, signaling that our circular ambitions are slipping further from reach.
Global extraction of raw materials has more than tripled in the last fifty years, now reaching a staggering 100bn annually – the same amount extracted throughout the entire 20th century. If current trends persist, this figure is projected to rise by another 60% by 2060.
We are routinely exceeding planetary boundaries, crossing safe environmental limits. On 12 October 2025, the second Global Tipping Points Report was published ahead of COP30. Authored by 160 scientists from 87 institutions in 23 countries, it delivered a stark warning: we’ve entered a ‘new reality’ marked by widespread mortality of warm water coral reefs, a critical tipping point. And others loom ahead – melting ice sheets, Amazon rainforest dieback, and the collapse of vital ocean currents. Every fraction of a degree, every year above 1.5°C, is consequential; we are currently on track for 3.1°C by 2100.
Our world is built on entrenched, linear economic flows – vast, global, and persistent. Designers are part of this highly subsidised system that externalises the cost of extraction and exploitation, treating the planet as a bottomless source of free raw materials. Crucially, 70% of global greenhouse gas emissions are tied to material extraction, processing, handling, and use. To address climate change, we must radically rethink our relationship with materials and move beyond linear consumption.
The critical role of reuse
As cities expand, new buildings, roads, and infrastructure lock materials away for decades, often with little thought for future recovery. This slows the rate that resources can be reused or recycled, intensifying resource pressures and shaping long-term demand.
Today’s housing stock is rigid, designed for the present moment – a “what we see, we can sell” mentality – unlike more adaptable Victorian or Georgian homes. Without strategies for local operations, material-efficient construction, adaptive reuse, and longevity, cities risk becoming hotspots of material demand, exacerbating resource depletion.
The reality is that materials available for development are finite. As extraction becomes more difficult, or trade tensions disrupt supply, costs soar and governments grow anxious. These pressures are catalysts for innovation and policy reform. But we already know enough to anticipate what’s coming – true resilience demands a shift in behaviour and mindset.
For instance, rare metals locked into long-lived assets mean nations and industries will struggle to maintain infrastructure without circular approaches to resource management. Reuse is a cornerstone of circularity, yet those who champion it know the challenges are significant.
How do we break the cycle?
Who must lead the transformation of global supply chains?
The answer lies in coordinated, multi-level behaviour change, across industries, supply chains, policymakers, and individuals.